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VisibleHand Risk Monitor — Live
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44 items  ·  avg risk 53.6  ·  highest AR 71 auto-refresh 2 min
Risk fill: Very Low (<20) Low (20–39) Moderate (40–59) High (60–74) Very High / Critical (75+)
Country Score Level Economic Political NLP Governance Confidence Drivers Updated
AR
Argentina
 		70.7[66–75] HIGH
65.6
72.8
85.0
60.0
75%
hawkish central bank languagerapid escalationelevated protest activity
 2026-06-29 ▸
PH
Philippines
 		69.0[66–72] HIGH
70.1
—
—
64.1
70%
high remittance dependency deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratingcurrent account deficit deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
PE
Peru
 		65.7[63–68] HIGH
66.0
—
—
64.1
70%
low fiscal capacity deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinghigh debt burden deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
UA
Ukraine
 		64.5[60–68] HIGH
46.0
89.2
78.0
58.6
75%
rapid escalationelevated conflict activityweak judicial independence
 2026-06-29 ▸
MY
Malaysia
 		62.7[60–66] HIGH
63.6
—
—
58.9
70%
low fiscal capacity deterioratingcurrent account deficit deterioratinghigh debt burden deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
ZA
South Africa
 		62.3[58–67] HIGH
70.2
48.7
61.0
62.9
73%
low fx reserves deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinglow fiscal capacity deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
BD
Bangladesh
 		62.1[56–69] HIGH
75.4
37.4
—
64.1
64%
low fiscal capacity deterioratinghigh debt burden deterioratinghigh remittance dependency deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
MA
Morocco
 		60.7[58–63] HIGH
59.9
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
TR
Turkey
 		60.6[55–66] HIGH
62.6
33.6
88.0
64.1
71%
hawkish central bank languageweak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpi
 2026-06-29 ▸
PK
Pakistan
 		59.7[54–66] MODERATE
64.0
50.1
—
64.1
67%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
HU
Hungary
 		59.4[56–62] MODERATE
58.4
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
ET
Ethiopia
 		59.2[53–65] MODERATE
60.5
57.1
—
58.9
65%
low fx reserves deterioratinglow fiscal capacity deterioratinghigh remittance dependency deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
NG
Nigeria
 		58.8[53–64] MODERATE
57.4
61.3
—
59.1
66%
rapid escalationelevated conflict activityelevated protest activity
 2026-06-29 ▸
KR
South Korea
 		58.8[56–62] MODERATE
62.4
—
52.0
56.1
74%
low fx reserves deterioratinghigh debt burden deterioratingcurrent account deficit deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
LB
Lebanon
 		58.2[52–64] MODERATE
65.8
42.2
—
64.1
65%
high inflation deterioratinglow fx reserves deterioratinglow fiscal capacity deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
RU
Russia
 		58.2[54–64] MODERATE
37.2
74.4
82.0
64.1
72%
hawkish central bank languagerapid escalationelevated conflict activity
 2026-06-29 ▸
CN
China
 		58.0[55–61] MODERATE
67.9
—
38.0
53.1
74%
low fiscal capacity deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinghigh remittance dependency deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
SA
Saudi Arabia
 		57.1[54–60] MODERATE
57.3
—
—
56.1
70%
current account deficit deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinghigh debt burden deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
GB
United Kingdom
 		56.9[54–60] MODERATE
50.4
—
68.0
64.1
74%
hawkish central bank languageweak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpi
 2026-06-29 ▸
CH
Switzerland
 		56.5[54–59] MODERATE
54.8
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
CL
Chile
 		56.2[54–59] MODERATE
54.5
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
LK
Sri Lanka
 		55.6[50–62] MODERATE
73.7
19.6
—
64.1
65%
weak gdp growth deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinglow fx reserves deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
KE
Kenya
 		55.1[49–61] MODERATE
64.4
36.7
—
58.9
64%
high unemployment deterioratinghigh debt burden deterioratingelevated bank npls deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
AU
Australia
 		54.5[51–58] MODERATE
49.9
—
60.0
64.1
74%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
CA
Canada
 		52.6[50–55] MODERATE
50.0
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
VE
Venezuela
 		52.6[46–58] MODERATE
41.4
68.3
—
64.1
65%
rapid escalationelevated protest activityelevated leadership change activity
 2026-06-29 ▸
BR
Brazil
 		52.0[47–58] MODERATE
48.5
56.3
58.0
45.5
70%
rapid escalationelevated protest activitylow fx reserves deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
JP
Japan
 		51.6[48–54] MODERATE
56.9
—
35.0
61.3
74%
weak wjp rule of lawweak rule of lawweak political corruption
 2026-06-29 ▸
MX
Mexico
 		50.0[45–55] MODERATE
41.2
50.9
64.0
58.9
72%
weak wjp rule of lawweak rule of lawweak political corruption
 2026-06-29 ▸
VN
Vietnam
 		49.6[47–52] MODERATE
47.4
—
—
59.5
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak rule of lawweak political corruption
 2026-06-29 ▸
IT
Italy
 		48.8[46–52] MODERATE
47.8
—
—
53.3
70%
weak rule of lawweak judicial independencehigh debt burden deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
GH
Ghana
 		48.7[44–54] MODERATE
66.4
12.8
—
58.9
64%
weak gdp growth deterioratinglow fiscal capacity deterioratingelevated bank npls deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
DE
Germany
 		47.9[43–53] MODERATE
64.4
16.9
42.0
62.9
70%
high inflationcurrent account deficit deterioratingweak gdp growth
 2026-06-29 ▸
NL
Netherlands
 		47.7[44–50] MODERATE
44.0
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
US
United States
 		46.5[42–52] MODERATE
51.0
12.8
72.0
59.0
69%
hawkish central bank languageweak rule of lawweak ti cpi
 2026-06-29 ▸
PL
Poland
 		45.8[43–49] MODERATE
41.7
—
—
64.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
CO
Colombia
 		44.5[40–51] MODERATE
59.3
12.0
—
58.9
64%
high debt burden deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinghigh unemployment deteriorating
 2026-06-29 ▸
ES
Spain
 		43.9[41–47] MODERATE
40.6
—
—
58.9
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak rule of lawweak political corruption
 2026-06-29 ▸
TH
Thailand
 		41.5[38–48] MODERATE
55.9
6.6
—
64.1
64%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
GR
Greece
 		41.3[38–44] MODERATE
38.0
—
—
56.1
70%
weak wjp rule of lawweak rule of lawweak judicial independence
 2026-06-29 ▸
FR
France
 		40.1[36–46] MODERATE
51.8
9.6
—
64.1
64%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
ID
Indonesia
 		39.1[37–44] LOW
49.7
1.1
50.0
64.1
71%
weak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
EG
Egypt
 		38.4[34–44] LOW
50.2
8.1
—
61.3
64%
weak wjp rule of lawweak rule of lawweak political corruption
 2026-06-29 ▸
IN
India
 		35.6[32–41] LOW
38.1
5.0
55.0
62.3
72%
weak ti cpiweak wjp rule of lawweak rule of law
 2026-06-29 ▸
Sources: World Bank · IMF · BIS · GDELT/ACLED · V-Dem · WJP · TI · Freedom House · NLP Methodology
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