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VisibleHand — Ukraine (UA) — Country Risk Detail
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◂ All countries  ·  Ukraine (UA) 2026-06-29  ·  confidence 75%
Composite Risk
64.5 [60.2–68.2]
HIGH

Economic risk 46/100 (weight 45%, confidence 88%). Political risk 89/100 from 6 events (weight 25%). Central-bank language hawkish -> 78/100 (weight 20%). Governance risk 59/100 (weight 10%).

Sub-Scores
Economic46.0 / 100
Political89.2 / 100
NLP (central bank)78.0 / 100
Governance58.6 / 100
Top Risk Drivers
rapid escalationelevated conflict activityweak judicial independenceweak fh political rightsweak fh civil liberties
Central Bank Signal (National Bank of Ukraine)
Sentiment78/100 · HAWKISH
Date2026-06-11

“The NBU Board decided to keep the key policy rate at 13.5%. Wartime economic conditions continue to create extraordinary challenges for monetary policy. Inflation is gradually declining but remains elevated due to supply disruptions. The NB…”

Score History (3 readings)
Full JSON ▸ History ▸ Drivers ▸ NLP Aspects ▸ Governance ▸ World-State ▸
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