Composite Risk
58.0 [54.9–61.0]
MODERATE
Economic risk 68/100 (weight 60%, confidence 89%). Central-bank language dovish -> 38/100 (weight 27%). Governance risk 53/100 (weight 13%).
Sub-Scores
Economic67.9 / 100
Political— / 100
NLP (central bank)38.0 / 100
Governance53.1 / 100
Top Risk Drivers
low fiscal capacity deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinghigh remittance dependency deterioratingweak rule of lawweak political corruption
Central Bank Signal (People's Bank of China)
Sentiment38/100 · DOVISH
Date2026-06-13
“The People's Bank of China will maintain a prudent monetary policy that is targeted and effective. The Bank cut the reserve requirement ratio to support credit growth and the real economy. Domestic demand remains insufficient and the founda…”