VisibleHand — Turkey (TR) — Country Risk Detail
◂ All countries  ·  Turkey (TR) 2026-06-29  ·  confidence 71%
Composite Risk
60.6 [55.1–66.1]
HIGH

Economic risk 63/100 (weight 45%, confidence 89%). Political risk 34/100 from 2 events (weight 25%). Central-bank language hawkish -> 88/100 (weight 20%). Governance risk 64/100 (weight 10%).

Sub-Scores
Economic62.6 / 100
Political33.6 / 100
NLP (central bank)88.0 / 100
Governance64.1 / 100
Top Risk Drivers
hawkish central bank languageweak wjp rule of lawweak ti cpiweak rule of lawhigh unemployment deteriorating
Central Bank Signal (Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye)
Sentiment88/100 · HAWKISH
Date2026-06-18

“The Committee decided to raise the policy rate to 50 percent to establish disinflation. Inflation remains exceptionally elevated and the outlook continues to pose significant risks. Monetary tightening will be maintained until a significant…”

Score History (3 readings)