VisibleHand — Russia (RU) — Country Risk Detail
◂ All countries  ·  Russia (RU) 2026-06-29  ·  confidence 72%
Composite Risk
58.2 [53.7–63.5]
MODERATE

Economic risk 37/100 (weight 45%, confidence 89%). Political risk 74/100 from 3 events (weight 25%). Central-bank language hawkish -> 82/100 (weight 20%). Governance risk 64/100 (weight 10%).

Sub-Scores
Economic37.2 / 100
Political74.4 / 100
NLP (central bank)82.0 / 100
Governance64.1 / 100
Top Risk Drivers
hawkish central bank languagerapid escalationelevated conflict activityelevated sanction activityweak wjp rule of law
Central Bank Signal (Bank of Russia)
Sentiment82/100 · HAWKISH
Date2026-06-08

“The Bank of Russia raised the key rate to 16 percent amid elevated inflationary pressure. Domestic demand continues to outpace the capacity to expand output. Pro-inflationary risks remain significant including a tight labour market. Wartime…”

Score History (3 readings)