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VisibleHand — South Africa (ZA) — Country Risk Detail
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◂ All countries  ·  South Africa (ZA) 2026-06-29  ·  confidence 73%
Composite Risk
62.3 [57.8–66.8]
HIGH

Economic risk 70/100 (weight 45%, confidence 88%). Political risk 49/100 from 3 events (weight 25%). Central-bank language hawkish -> 61/100 (weight 20%). Governance risk 63/100 (weight 10%).

Sub-Scores
Economic70.2 / 100
Political48.7 / 100
NLP (central bank)61.0 / 100
Governance62.9 / 100
Top Risk Drivers
low fx reserves deterioratingelevated bank npls deterioratinglow fiscal capacity deterioratingweak ti cpiweak wjp rule of law
Central Bank Signal (South African Reserve Bank)
Sentiment61/100 · NEUTRAL
Date2026-06-04

“The Monetary Policy Committee decided to keep the repo rate unchanged at 8.25%. The risks to the inflation outlook are assessed to be on the upside. Electricity supply constraints continue to weigh on economic growth. Load shedding has caus…”

Score History (3 readings)
Full JSON ▸ History ▸ Drivers ▸ NLP Aspects ▸ Governance ▸ World-State ▸
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