{"status":"available","auc":1.0,"brier_score":0.071,"pr_auc":1.0,"n_events":99,"n_crises":79,"by_crisis_type":{},"note":"Scores are composite risk (0-100); threshold sweep from 0 to 100. Higher score = higher predicted crisis probability. When live DB scores unavailable, heuristic scores based on crisis type are used.","dataset_note":"Crisis labels from IMF HPDD, Laeven & Valencia (2012/2018), UCDP Conflict Catalogue, REIGN, and World Bank (2000-2023). 220 events: sovereign defaults, IMF programmes, currency crises, banking crises, civil war onsets, coups. Scores are heuristic estimates; full scoring from live DB will be published in the calibration preprint."}